2011 - 2015

Open access papers are marked with *

Asher, J., Fox, R. & Warren, M.S. 2011. British butterfly distributions and the 2010 target. Journal of Insect Conservation 15, 291-299.

*Bennie, J., Hodgson, J.A., Lawson, C.R., Holloway, C.T.R., Roy, D.B., Brereton, T., Thomas, C.D. & Wilson, R.J. 2013. Range expansion through fragmented landscapes under a variable climate. Ecology Letters 16, 921-929.

*Bishop, T.R., Botham, M.S., Fox, R., Leather, S.R., Chapman, D.S. & Oliver, T.H. 2013. The utility of distribution data in predicting phenology. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 4, 1024-1032.

Bonsall, M.B., Dooley, C.A., Kasparson, A., Brereton, T., Roy, D.B. & Thomas, J.A. 2014. Allee effects and the spatial dynamics of a locally endangered butterfly, the high brown fritillary (Argynnis adippe)Ecological Applications 24, 108-120.

Botham, M.S., Ash, D., Aspey, N., Bourn, N.A.D., Bulman, C.R., Roy, D.B., Swain, J., Zannese, A. & Pywell, R.F. 2011. The effects of habitat fragmentation on niche requirements of the marsh fritillary, Euphydryas aurinia, (Rottemburg, 1775) on calcareous grasslands in southern UK. Journal of Insect Conservation 15, 269-277.

Botham, M., Fernandez-Ploquin, E., Brereton, T., Harrower, C., Roy, D. & Heard, M. 2015. Lepidoptera communities across an agricultural gradient: how important are habitat area and habitat diversity in supporting high diversity? Journal of Insect Conservation 19, 403-420.

Brereton, T.M., Cruickshanks, K.L., Risely, K., Noble, D.G. & Roy, D.B. 2011. Developing and launching a wider countryside butterfly survey across the United Kingdom. Journal of Insect Conservation 15, 279-290.

Brereton, T., Roy, D.B., Middlebrook, I., Botham, M. & Warren, M. 2011. The development of butterfly indicators in the United Kingdom and assessments in 2010. Journal of Insect Conservation 15, 139-151.

Broome, A., Clarke, S., Peace, A. & Parsons, M. 2011. The effect of coppice management on moth assemblages in an English woodland. Biodiversity and Conservation 20, 729-749.

*Buckley, L.B., Waaser, S., MacLean, H.J. & Fox, R. 2011. Does including physiology improve species distribution model predictions of responses to recent climate change? Ecology 92, 2214-2221.

*Carvalheiro, L.G., Kunin, W.E., Keil, P., Aguirre-Gutiérrez. J., Ellis, W.N., Fox, R., Groom, Q., Hennekens, S., Van Landuyt, W., Maes, D., Van de Meutter, F., Michez, D., Rasmont, P., Ode, B., Potts, S.G., Reemer, M., Roberts, S.P.M., Schaminée, J., WallisDeVries, M.F. & Biesmeijer, J.C. 2013. Species richness declines and biotic homogenization have slowed down for NW-European pollinators and plants. Ecology Letters 16, 870-878.

Clarke, S.A., Green, D.G., Joy, J., Wollen, K. & Butler, I. 2011. Leptidea sinapis (Wood White butterfly) egg-laying habitat and adult dispersal studies in Herefordshire. Journal of Insect Conservation 15, 23-35.

Curtis, R., Botham, M., Brereton, T. & Isaac, N. 2015. The rise and demise of the Glanville fritillary on the Isle of WightJournal of Insect Conservation 19, 305-311.

Curtis, R.J., Brereton, T.M., Dennis, R.L., Carbone, C. & Isaac, N.J. 2015. Butterfly abundance is determined by food availability and is mediated by species traitsJournal of Applied Ecology 52, 1676-1684.

Dapporto, L., Ciolli, G., Dennis, R.L. H., Fox, R. & Shreeve, T. 2015. A new procedure for extrapolating turnover regionalization at mid-small spatial scales, tested on British butterfliesMethods in Ecology and Evolution 6, 1287-1297.

Davis, J., Lewis, S. & Putwain, P. 2011. The re-creation of dry heathland and habitat for a nationally threatened butterfly at Prees Heath Common Reserve, Shropshire. Aspects of Applied Biology 108, 247-254.

*Dennis, E.B., Freeman, S.N., Brereton, T. , Roy, D.B. & O'Hara, R.B. 2013. Indexing butterfly abundance whilst accounting for missing counts and variability in seasonal pattern. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 4, 637-645.

Devictor, V., van Swaay, C., Brereton, T., Brotons, L., Chamberlain, D., Heliölä, J., Herrando, S., Julliard, R., Kuussaari, M., Lindström, Å., Reif, J., Roy, D.B., Schweiger, O., Settele, J., Stefanescu, C., Van Strien, A., Van Turnhout, C., Vermouzek, Z., WallisDeVries, M., Wynhoff, I. & Jiguet, F. 2012. Differences in the climatic debts of birds and butterflies at a continental scale. Nature Climate Change 2, 121-124.

Dicks, L.V., Abrahams, A., Atkinson, J., Biesmeijer, J., Bourn, N., Brown, C., Brown, M.J., Carvell, C., Connolly, C., Cresswell, J.E., Croft, P., Darvill, B., Zylva, P., Effingham, P., Fountain, M., Goggin, A., Harding, D., Harding, T., Hartfield, C., Heard, M.S., Heathcote, R., Heaver, D., Holland, J., Howe, M., Hughes, B., Huxley, T., Kunin, W.E., Little, J., Mason, C., Memmott, J., Osborne, J., Pankhurst, T., Paxton, R.J., Pocock, M.J., Potts, S.G., Power, E.F., Raine, N.E., Ranelagh, E., Roberts, S., Saunders, R., Smith, K., Smith, R.M., Sutton, P., Tilley, L.A., Tinsley, A., Tonhasca, A., Vanbergen, A.J., Webster, S., Wilson, A., Sutherland, W.J. & Leather, S.R. 2013. Identifying key knowledge needs for evidence‐based conservation of wild insect pollinators: a collaborative cross‐sectoral exercise. Insect Conservation and Diversity 6, 435-446.

Dooley, C.A., Bonsall, M.B., Brereton, T. & Oliver, T. 2013. Spatial variation in the magnitude and functional form of density‐dependent processes on the large skipper butterfly Ochlodes sylvanus. Ecological Entomology 38, 608-616.

*Eaton, M.A., Burns, F., Isaac, N.J., Gregory, R.D., August, T.A., Barlow, K.E., Brereton, T., Brooks, D.R., Al Fulaij, N. & Haysom, K.A. 2015. The priority species indicator: measuring the trends in threatened species in the UKBiodiversity 16, 108-119.

Eglington, S.M., Brereton, T.M., Tayleur, C.M., Noble, D., Risely, K., Roy, D.B. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2015. Patterns and causes of covariation in bird and butterfly community structureLandscape Ecology 30, 1461-1472.

Ellis, S., Wainwright, D., Berney, F., Bulman, C. & Bourn, N. 2011. Landscape-scale conservation in practice: lessons from northern England, UK. Journal of Insect Conservation 15, 69-81.

Fox, R. 2013. The decline of moths in Great Britain: a review of possible causes. Insect Conservation and Diversity 6, 5-19.

*Fox, R., Oliver, T.H., Harrower, C., Parsons, M.S., Thomas, C.D. & Roy, D.B. 2014. Long-term changes to the frequency of occurrence of British moths are consistent with opposing and synergistic effects of climate and land-use changesJournal of Applied Ecology 51, 949-957. News story

Fox, R., Randle, Z., Hill, L., Anders, S., Wiffen, L. & Parsons, M.S. 2011. Moths Count: recording moths for conservation in the UK. Journal of Insect Conservation 15, 55-68.

Fox, R., Warren, M.S., Brereton, T.M., Roy, D.B. & Robinson, A. 2011. A new red list of British butterflies. Insect Conservation and Diversity 4, 159-172.

*Gilburn, A.S., Bunnefeld, N., Wilson, J., Botham, M.S., Brereton, T., Fox, R. & Goulson, D. 2015. Are neonicotinoid insecticides driving declines of widespread butterflies? PeerJ 3, e1402. News story

*Gillingham, P.K., Alison, J., Roy, D.B., Fox, R. & Thomas, C.D. 2015. High abundances of species in protected areas in parts of their geographic distributions colonised during a recent period of climatic changeConservation Letters 8, 97-106.

Gillingham, P.K., Bradbury, R.B., Roy, D.B., Anderson, B.J., Baxter, J.M., Bourn, N.A.D., Crick, H.Q.P., Findon, R.A., Fox, R., Franco, A., Hill, J.K., Hodgson, J.A., Holt, A.R., Morecroft, M.D., O’Hanlon, N.J., Oliver, T.H., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Procter, D.A., Thomas, J.A., Walker, K.J., Walmsley, C.A., Wilson, R.J. & Thomas, C.D. 2015. The effectiveness of protected areas to conserve species undertaking geographic range shifts. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society 115, 707-717.

Gripenberg, S., Hamer, N., Brereton, T., Roy, D.B. & Lewis, O.T. 2011. A novel parasitoid and a declining butterfly: cause or coincidence? Ecological Entomology 36, 271-281.

*Hodgson, J.A., Thomas, C.D., Oliver, T.H., Anderson, B.J., Brereton, T.M. & Crone, E.E. 2011. Predicting insect phenology across space and time. Global Change Biology 17, 1289-1300.

*Isaac, N.J., Cruickshanks, K.L., Weddle, A.M., Rowcliffe, J.M., Brereton, T.M., Dennis, R. L., Shuker, D.M. & Thomas, C.D. 2011. Distance sampling and the challenge of monitoring butterfly populations. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 2, 585-594.

Isaac, N.J.B., Girardello, M., Brereton, T.M. & Roy, D.B. 2011. Butterfly abundance in a warming climate: patterns in space and time are not congruent. Journal of Insect Conservation 15, 233-240.

Jeffcoate, S. & Joy, J. 2011. Evidence-based National Recovery Plan for Leptidea sinapis (wood white butterfly) in Southern Britain. Journal of Insect Conservation 15, 759-763.

*Macgregor, C.J., Pocock, M.J.O., Fox, R. & Evans, D.M. 2015. Pollination by nocturnal Lepidoptera, and the effects of light pollution: a reviewEcological Entomology 40, 187-198.

Mair, L., Hill, J.K., Fox, R., Botham, M., Brereton, T. & Thomas, C.D. 2014.  Abundance changes and habitat availability drive species’ responses to climate changeNature Climate Change 4, 127-131. News story

Mair, L., Thomas, C.D., Anderson, B.J., Fox, R., Botham, M. & Hill, J.K. 2012. Temporal variation in responses of species to four decades of climate warming. Global Change Biology 18, 2439-2447.

*Mason, S.C., Palmer, G., Fox, R., Gillings, S., Hill, J.K., Thomas, C.D. & Oliver, T.H. 2015. Geographical range margins of a wide range of taxonomic groups continue to shift polewardsBiological Journal of the Linnean Society 115, 586-597.

*Matechou, E., Dennis, E.B., Freeman, S.N. & Brereton, T. 2014. Monitoring abundance and phenology in (multivoltine) butterfly species: a novel mixture modelJournal of Applied Ecology 51, 766-775.

Merckx, T., Feber, R.E., Hoare, D.J., Parsons, M.S., Kelly, C.J., Bourn, N.A.D. & Macdonald, D.W. 2012. Conserving threatened Lepidoptera: Towards an effective woodland management policy in landscapes under intense human land-use. Biological Conservation 149, 32-39.

Oliver, T.H., Brereton, T. & Roy, D.B. 2013. Population resilience to an extreme drought is influenced by habitat area and fragmentation in the local landscape. Ecography 36, 579-586.

*Oliver, T.H., Gillings, S. , Girardello, M. , Rapacciuolo, G. , Brereton, T.M., Siriwardena, G.M., Roy, D.B., Pywell, R. & Fuller, R.J. 2012. Population density but not stability can be predicted from species distribution models. Journal of Applied Ecology 49, 581-590.

Oliver, T.H., Marshall, H.H., Morecroft, M.D., Brereton, T., Prudhomme, C. & Huntingford, C. 2015. Interacting effects of climate change and habitat fragmentation on drought-sensitive butterfliesNature Climate Change 5, 941-945. News story

Oliver, T.H., Roy, D.B., Brereton, T. & Thomas, J.A. 2012. Reduced variability in range‐edge butterfly populations over three decades of climate warming. Global Change Biology 18, 1531-1539.

Oliver, T.H., Stefanescu, C., Páramo, F., Brereton, T. & Roy, D.B. 2014. Latitudinal gradients in butterfly population variability are influenced by landscape heterogeneityEcography 37, 863-871.

Oliver, T.H., Thomas, C.D., Hill, J.K., Brereton, T. & Roy, D.B. 2012. Habitat associations of thermophilous butterflies are reduced despite climatic warming. Global Change Biology 18, 2720-2729.

Pagel, J., Anderson, B.J., O’Hara, R.B., Cramer, W., Fox, R., Jeltsch, F., Roy, D.B., Thomas, C.D. & Schurr, F.M.  2014. Quantifying range-wide variation in population trends from local abundance surveys and widespread opportunistic occurrence recordsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 5, 751-760. 

Pateman, R.M., Hill, J.K., Roy, D.B., Fox, R. & Thomas, C.D. 2012. Temperature-dependent alterations in host use drive rapid range expansion in a butterfly. Science 336, 1028-1030.

Pescott, O.L., Simkin, J.M., August, T.A., Randle, Z., Dore, A.J. & Botham, M.S. 2015. Air pollution and its effects on lichens, bryophytes, and lichen-feeding Lepidoptera: review and evidence from biological recordsBiological Journal of the Linnean Society 115, 611-635.

*Pocock, M.J., Newson, S.E., Henderson, I.G., Peyton, J., Sutherland, W.J., Noble, D.G., Ball, S.G., Beckmann, B.C., Biggs, J. & Brereton, T. 2015. Developing and enhancing biodiversity monitoring programmes: a collaborative assessment of prioritiesJournal of Applied Ecology 52, 686-695.

*Powney, G.D., Roy, D.B., Chapman, D. , Brereton, T. & Oliver, T.H. 2011. Measuring functional connectivity using long‐term monitoring data. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 2, 527-533.

*Rapacciuolo, G., Roy, D.B., Gillings, S., Fox, R., Walker, K. & Purvis, A. 2012.  Climatic associations of British species distributions show good transferability in time but low predictive accuracy for range change. PLoS ONE 7, e40212.

*Roy, D.B., Oliver, T.H., Botham, M.S., Beckmann, B., Brereton, T., Dennis, R.L., Harrower, C., Phillimore, A.B. & Thomas, J.A.2015. Similarities in butterfly emergence dates among populations suggest local adaptation to climateGlobal Change Biology 21, 3313-3322.

Roy, D., Ploquin, E., Randle, Z., Risely, K., Botham, M., Middlebrook, I., Noble, D., Cruickshanks, K., Freeman, S. & Brereton, T.2015. Comparison of trends in butterfly populations between monitoring schemesJournal of Insect Conservation 19, 313-324.

Stefanescu, C., Páramo, F., Åkesson, S., Alarcón, M., Ávila, A., Brereton, T., Carnicer, J., Cassar, L.F., Fox, R., Heliölä, J., Hill, J.K., Hirneisen, N., Kjellén, N., Kühn, E., Kuussaari, M., Leskinen, M., Liechti, F., Musche, M., Regan, E.C., Reynolds, D.R., Roy, D.B., Ryrholm, N., Schmaljohann, H., Settele, J., Thomas, C.D., van Swaay, C. & Chapman, J.W. 2013. Multi-generational long-distance migration of insects: studying the painted lady butterfly in the Western Palaearctic. Ecography 36, 474-486.

*Suggitt, A.J., Stefanescu, C., Páramo, F., Oliver, T., Anderson, B.J., Hill, J.K., Roy, D.B., Brereton T. & Thomas, C.D. 2012. Habitat associations of species show consistent but weak responses to climate. Biology Letters 8, 590-593.

Suggitt, A.J., Wilson, R.J., August, T.A., Fox, R., Isaac, N.J.B., Macgregor, N.A., Morecroft, M.D. & Maclean, I.M.D. 2015. Microclimate affects landscape level persistence in the British LepidopteraJournal of Insect Conservation 19, 237-253.

Sutherland, W.J., Allison, H., Aveling, R., Bainbridge, I.P., Bennun, L., Bullock, D.J., Clements, A., Crick, H.Q.P., Gibbons, D.W., Smith, S., Rands, M.R.W., Rose, P., Scharlemann, J.P.W. & Warren, M.S. 2012. Enhancing the value of horizon scanning through collaborative review. Oryx 46, 368-374.

*Thomas, C.D., Gillingham, P.K., Bradbury, R.B., Roy, D.B., Anderson, B.J., Baxter, J.M., Bourn, N.A.D., Crick, H.Q.P., Findon, R.A., Fox, R., Hodgson, J.A., Holt, A.R., Morecroft, M.D., O’Hanlon, N.J., Oliver, T.H., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Procter, D.A., Thomas, J.A., Walker, K.J., Walmsley, C.A., Wilson, R.J. & Hill, J.K. 2012. Protected areas facilitate species’ range expansions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109, 14063-14068.

*Thomas, C.D., Hill, J.K., Anderson, B.J., Bailey, S., Beale, C.M., Bradbury, R.B., Bulman, C.R., Crick, H.Q., Eigenbrod, F. , Griffiths, H.M., Kunin, W.E., Oliver, T.H., Walmsley, C.A., Watts, K. , Worsfold, N.T. & Yardley, T. 2011. A framework for assessing threats and benefits to species responding to climate change. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 2, 125-142.

*van Swaay, C., Collins, C., Dušej, G., Maes, D., Munguira, M.L., Rakosy, L., Ryrholm, N., Šašić, M., Settele, J., Thomas, J., Verovnik, R., Verstrael, T., Warren, M., Wiemers, M. & Wynhoff, I. 2012. Dos and don'ts for butterflies of the Habitats Directive of the European Union. Nature Conservation 1, 73-153.

van Swaay, C., Maes, D., Collins, S., Munguira, M.L., Šašić, M., Settele, J., Verovnik, R., Warren, M., Wiemers, M., Wynhoff, I. & Cuttelod, A. 2011. Applying IUCN criteria to invertebrates: How red is the Red List of European butterflies? Biological Conservation 144, 470-478.

Verovnik, R., Micevski, B., Maes, D., Wynhoff, I., van Swaay, C. & Warren, M. 2013. Conserving Europe’s most endangered butterfly: the Macedonian Grayling (Pseudochazara cingovskii). Journal of Insect Conservation 17, 941-947.

Wainwright, D. 2011. Oviposition behaviour and habitat requirements of the Large Heath butterfly (Coenonympha tullia). Aspects of Applied Biology 108, 87-93.

Warren, M.S. & Bourn, N.A.D. 2011. Ten challenges for 2010 and beyond to conserve Lepidoptera in Europe. Journal of Insect Conservation 15, 321-326.

Woodcock, B.A., Bullock, J.M., Mortimer, S.R., Brereton, T., Redhead, J.W., Thomas, J.A. & Pywell, R.F. 2012. Identifying time lags in the restoration of grassland butterfly communities: A multi-site assessment. Biological Conservation 155, 50-58.